The Future of TikTok: A Geopolitical Tightrope Walk

TikTok's future in the United States hangs in the balance as investors scramble to secure a deal before the federal ban takes full effect

January 28, 2025
In a dramatic turn of events, TikTok's future in the United States hangs in the balance as investors scramble to secure a deal before the federal ban takes full effect. On January 19, 2025, TikTok temporarily went dark in the U.S. due to a government mandate that requires its parent company, ByteDance, based in China, to sell the platform to an American owner. This controversial decision stems from serious concerns over the data collection practices and potential influence operations linked to the Chinese government.
Fans of the application were and are still left disheartened by this ban. The U.S. user base is significant, as TikTok has become a communication platform that allows for creative expression and community building. With 157.6 million active users in Indonesia alone as of July 2024, the implications of such a shutdown are considerable. If TikTok is permanently banned in the U.S., we could witness a mass migration of users seeking new platforms- which commenced since fans migrated to another Chinese-owned social media platform, Red Note but then quickly withdrew after Donald Trump put a pause on the banning of TikTok.
President Trump has taken the lead in negotiations, expressing his desire for the United States to hold a 50% stake in a potential joint venture. He has suggested that notable figures like Oracle’s Larry Ellison and even the world's richest man, Elon Musk, may play pivotal roles in the acquisition.
In the suggested arrangement with Mr. Ellison, Oracle would take control of most of the company, while TikTok's existing parent company, ByteDance would maintain a small stake. Oracle would be responsible for managing aspects such as gathering data on U.S. users and overseeing the app's algorithm and software updates. NPR reports that Oracle executives met with White House officials on Friday, although "the details of the agreement may evolve and are still under negotiation."
Musk’s ownership interests are also buzzing around the rumor mill, alongside tech titan Microsoft, which previously showed interest in acquiring TikTok but fell short in 2020. The list of potential buyers is ripe. For instance, influencer and philanthropist MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) has voiced his intention, while Kevin O’Leary from the hit show Shark Tank is rallying support through “The People’s Bid for TikTok,” backed by Project Liberty’s Frank McCourt. Additionally, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has stepped back into the fray, adding bedding complexity to the negotiations.
Perplexity AI too has thrown its hat into the ring as a prospective buyer, eyeing a merger that would keep existing investors from being sidelined. This new contender represents a fresh wave of purchasers who are not conventional media or entertainment tycoons but influential figures in the technology sector.
As talks are said to be intensifying, Trump's open negotiations may establish a benchmark for future tech acquisitions. This highlights the importance involved in this prominent purchasing frenzy.
As the clock ticks down and the battle for TikTok intensifies, the eyes of America remain glued to the outcome. Who will ultimately secure the app that transformed the landscape of social media? And will it bring TikTok back to the users who have made it a staple in their daily lives? As we await the final decision, one thing is clear, the future of TikTok hangs delicately in the balance, and may the best contender win!

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